All those buoys by their nature don’t represent true particles floating on the surface that happen to be subjected to Those people area forces considerably.
I elevated the refraction problems with ALSM a long time back (July 2015) and he dismissed it outside of hand. I still think it truly is truly worth additional study.
I would want to see your study repeated only according to undrogued buoys and with historic windage integrated.
You will find sixteen mentions of “30S†(and variants) inside the guardian report and in the feedback area of the thread on your own. Whether or not one particular calls it a “fascination†as I did or possibly a “eureka! pin†as you probably did – it gets many attention.
There is absolutely no logic in flying to 40S100E (or YWKS or McMurdo or SP) following a flight that shows numerous signs of perfectly prepared, managed and executed manouvres until ~eighteen:forty.
Even if it IS appropriate, I cannot know how you expect to see an analogous thermal transient form/timing/amplitude with two distinctive Handle loops (or understand that one particular is “double†another).
That’s a similar thing you said about my Xmas Island principle. I had been in therapy for nearly 6 months. I will say The brand new stuff is beautifully formatted. Do you have got any strategy what tool they made use of. Any one?
I and others have shaped the ‘belief’ the injury and seperation pattern from the observed parts is best described by a comparatively minimal pace, ~wings stage, nose up, ditch-like effect. And I believe I and those others who Believe a similar have sturdy arguments as well.
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You retain refusing to Permit any of these insights in and keep on with your ~38S and further than assumption like you did two yrs back. Issues have transformed.
For Peete’s sake Dennis! The mistake is negligible in comparison to the digital logic sounds. Other than, what ever find more it truly is…10m or 40 m or what ever…it is usually soaked up inside the BTO bias calibration. Geeeez!
Earlier mentioned should really read 160m 1 sigma (accounting for that four passes at resource ~500km each). Same summary relative to worry.
As for that surface research. Some forthright info: twenty days passed right before any aircraft were being credibly tasked to some lookup. There needs to be no expectation that something smaller than the usual ship could have been discriminated on 17-18th March. Right until twenty eighth March, the air taskings have been entirely in the incorrect space. The probability of detection while in the period of time twenty eighth Mar thru third April was variable, but commonly pretty lower, tasked about an area of 100s of 1000s of km/sq.
I believe at this quite minute just about practically nothing will effect OI’s research region. OI has possible architected a lookup strategy, and can stick with it. That could be a Substantially unique Idea than an announcement concerning refinement with the search region.